Goal: compare a row conditional proportion with an all-register proportion. 25 = 2 + 5 + 7 + 7 + 4.
- 0–2: Ask “18 of which cards?” before converting to a percent.
- 2–7: If one design is chosen uniformly from this constructed register, model
P(two-sided | Puzzle)=18/24=3/4=75%; without the given condition,P(two-sided)=30/50=60%. Explaingiven Puzzlenarrows the denominator; it does not mean a causal probability for future cards. - 7–14: Learners compute Story two-sided
9/18=50%and No-theme two-sided3/8=37.5%; label every group. Compare row rates without saying theme caused side count. - 14–21: Routes: fraction strips with 24/50 totals; annotated two-way grid; symbolic fractions and a spoken/signed
given/ofsentence. All routes state numerator, denominator and scope. - 21–25: Exit “Is 18/50 the same question as 18/24?” Look-for: no; Puzzle-and-two-sided among all versus two-sided given Puzzle. Next move: hold the numerator tile still while physically changing the reference-group frame.
Another setting: Fictional puzzle-card designs by two categories. Optional/home: invent a safe two-way table and read one given sentence; no family survey.