Goal: compare all nine drafts to the proposed M(x)=3x+2 and keep claims scoped. 25 = 2 + 5 + 7 + 7 + 4.
- 0–2: Say the line is the notebook's proposal, not a fitted physical law.
- 2–7: At x=2 the line predicts 8; drafts C/D list 8/9, residuals 0/+1. Define
record − model, with clue-icon units. - 7–14: Learners fill the residual ruler: A–I residuals 0,+1,0,+1,0,+1,0,+1,+5. At x=5, 22−17=+5. Discuss how one chosen line can describe the x=1–4 cluster but miss I.
- 14–21: Routes: move 0/+1/+5 number tiles next to draft letters; fill a table and calculate by hand; use a calculator then explain one subtraction orally/AAC. Every route states the sign and unit.
- 21–25: Exit “Does +5 show why I differs?” Look-for: no, only numerical mismatch. Next move: change a causal sentence into a question about the design decision.
Another setting: Invented picture-book scene counts versus caption counts. Optional/home: find one residual from an original mini-table.